Sr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst

Sr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst 4 days ago – Be among the first 25 applicants. This range is provided by Mercor. Your actual pay will be based on your skills and experience—talk with your recruiter to learn more. Direct message the job poster from Mercor. About The Job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey. Position Superforecaster Type Independent Contractor Compensation $140–$245 / hour Location Remote Commitment Hours per week Role Responsibilities Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions. Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure. Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement. Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria. Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks. Qualifications Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF). Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years. Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments. Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills. Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks. Compensation & Legal Independent contractor. Application Process (Takes mins to complete) Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started. Complete a brief form. We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps. Resources & Support For details about the interview process and platform information, please check : For any help or support, reach out to : PS : Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity. #J-18808-Ljbffr